Luka Doncic Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/22/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 22, 2024

Updated May 23, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has put up an impressive 9.7 assists per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 8.0 assists per game last year.
Luka Doncic has tallied 37.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Luka Doncic should suffer a reduction in production for all stats as a result of being on the road in this game.

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