Luka Doncic Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:47 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has put up a terrific 9.8 assists per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.0 assists per game last year.
Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 37.1 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Luka Doncic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production across the board.

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