Luka Doncic Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 6, 2024 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has compiled an impressive 9.4 assists per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.0 assists per game last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 36.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league on the road this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has captured 12.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets (maintaining possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).
Luka Doncic ought to suffer a drop-off in production for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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