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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 11/15/2023

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 7.9 assists per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.3 minutes per game this year.

Luka Doncic has committed a measly 1.7 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.5 fouls per game last season.

The 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Wizards have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production across the board.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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