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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 4/7/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has compiled 8.1 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 35.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.
  • The Bulls have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (84th percentile).
  • The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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