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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 4/7/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has compiled 8.1 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.

Luka Doncic has tallied 35.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.

The Bulls have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (84th percentile).

The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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