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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Assists
Player Prop - 2/23/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 8.3 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
  • Luka Doncic has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.
  • Luka Doncic will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually improves stat production across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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