Luka Doncic Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has totaled 8.7 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.
Luka Doncic has tallied 36.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Wizards.
Luka Doncic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).
The Wizards have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games when playing on the road (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.

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