LeBron James Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 10:14 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has put up 6.9 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the league's hottest in this category in recent games: 96th percentile.
LeBron James has averaged 33.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James registers in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, logging only 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.