LeBron James Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has tallied 6.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 96th percentile.
LeBron James has tallied 33.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the league this year (the Spurs).
The Spurs have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 0.0 rate, LeBron James's technical fouls have surged this season to 0.2 per game.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
LeBron James stands to see a decline in output in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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