LeBron James Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/16/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 16, 2023

Updated May 17, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has put up 7.5 defensive rebounds per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's best by this metric in recent games: 98th percentile.
LeBron James has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 97th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while on the road this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

LeBron James has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's been called for overall this season.
The Nuggets have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Lakers.
LeBron James will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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