LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2026

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 14, 2026

Updated Mar 15, 2026 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lakers rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on threes (5th-best in the NBA) against the Nuggets, marking this as a good matchup.
The Lakers will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

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