LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2026

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 5, 2026

Updated Mar 6, 2026 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-117/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's outstanding 121.2 points per game without the home court advantage comes in as the 4th-best in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

LeBron James has scored a measly 20.5 points per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 24.5 points per game last year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 3.7 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a tough matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.
The Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

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