LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2026

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 4, 2026

Updated Jan 5, 2026 2:45 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+101/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has notched 25.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.2 higher than he's notched in all games this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Lakers's exceptional 121.9 points per game as the home team settles in as the 5th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Memphis is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.5).
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.6 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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