LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 16, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 4:04 AM UTC

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has averaged 23.0 points per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
LeBron James has converted 55.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 5.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from his home court.
LeBron James has averaged 35.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile.
In regard to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's impressive 120.2 points per game ranks 5th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

The matchup against New Orleans is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 5th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.4).
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
LeBron James should experience a decrease in production for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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