LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 20.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
In comparison to last year's 28.9% clip, LeBron James's three-point efficiency has increased this year to 39.6%.
Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.4 minutes per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.7).
The Lakers will likely experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).
LeBron James will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

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