LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 9:47 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has converted a terrific 39.8% of his attempts from downtown this year, significantly more than his 28.9 rate last year.
LeBron James has tallied 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile.
With respect to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's impressive 120.8 points per game ranks highest in the league over the last 15 games.
The fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Lakers.
LeBron James has attempted 7.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

LeBron James has attempted a lowly 17.9 field goals per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 21.3 rate last season.
The matchup against the Nets is a hard one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.6).
The Nets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
LeBron James will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production for all stats.

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