LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 24, 2024

Updated Mar 25, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has averaged 34.4 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
As it relates to scoring, the Lakers's fantastic 123.5 points per game playing at home places best in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted 22.9 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive performance.
The 4th-quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to raise plays for the Lakers.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 21.3 clip, LeBron James's field goal attempts have diminished this season to 18.0 per game.
Relative to last year's 6.8 clip, LeBron James's shots from behind the three-point arc have dropped this year to 5.3 per game.
The rate of treys made against Pascal Siakam has been remarkably low (32.1%) when he is away from his home court and matched up against other starting PFs this year (13th percentile).
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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