LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has successfully made 51.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 10.3% higher than he's made from three in all games this year.
LeBron James has attempted 6.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.1 minutes per game this year.
With respect to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's fantastic 122.6 points per game comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup against the Kings is a favorable one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 6th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (52.6%).

Favors Under

The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Kings, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.
LeBron James will likely suffer a drop-off in output for all stats in light of being on the road in this game.

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