LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Washington Wizards · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has converted 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.
LeBron James has tallied 34.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 18.6 points per game (22nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, creating a positive matchup for offensive performance.
The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Lakers.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James measures in the 94th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a whopping 0.1 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 25 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have secured 12.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Wizards (maintaining possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

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