LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 8:42 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has made 9.4 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
LeBron James has played 34.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Favors Under

LeBron James has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns is a difficult one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 13th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (29.1%).
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
LeBron James should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats considering playing away from home in this contest.

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