LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 9:34 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 19.8 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
LeBron James has averaged 33.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James registers in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, logging only 1.2 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's terrific 122.6 points per game while on their home court ranks 5th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on three-pointers (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a good matchup.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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