LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, LeBron James measures in the 97th percentile for shots drained, totaling a monstrous 9.3 per game this year.
LeBron James has converted 52.9% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 10.8% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season away from his home court.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 34.0 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's fantastic 119.2 points per game settles in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 39.8% on shot attempts from the field (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (10th-least in the league).