LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 28.9% mark, LeBron James's 3-point efficiency has jumped this year to 39.8%.
LeBron James has tallied 33.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.2).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 21.3 rate, LeBron James's shots taken have decreased this year to 17.4 per game.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Compared to last year's 5.9 clip, LeBron James's number of free throws has declined this year to 5.1 free throws per game.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Spurs, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
LeBron James stands to see a decline in output in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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