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LeBron James

LeBron James Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, LeBron James registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 32.7 minutes per game on his home court this year.

LeBron James has averaged a measly 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 1.7 fouls per game last year.

The Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have notched 23.0 points per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive productivity.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 21.3 mark, LeBron James's field goal attempts have decreased this season to 16.4 per game.

LeBron James has attempted a mere 5.6 three-pointers per game this season, significantly lower than his 6.8 rate last season.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA while on their home court with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Playing at home, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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