LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 24, 2023

Updated Apr 24, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 8.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
LeBron James has played 34.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a hard one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 13th-least baskets per game in the NBA this year (5.0).
The Grizzlies have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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