LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 2:41 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
LeBron James has successfully made 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.8 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year on his home court.
The matchup against the Suns may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the NBA).
LeBron James will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises player performance across the board.

Favors Under

LeBron James has attempted a mere 6.7 treys per game this season, significantly lower than his 8.0 mark last season.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league at home this year.
The matchup against Phoenix is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Suns are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 15th-lowest FG% in the league this year (41.1%).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Suns have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Lakers.