LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has averaged 33.8 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 more than he's averaged overall this year.
LeBron James has attempted 9.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
LeBron James has played 35.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Favors Under

LeBron James has converted a measly 1.9 treys per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 2.9 rate last year.
The matchup against the Rockets is a hard one for three-point attempts; opposing squads have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (39.4).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Rockets is a tough one; they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs since the start of last season (11.7).

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