LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2022

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 30, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 21.9 shots per game this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.
LeBron James has converted 4.9 foul shots per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
LeBron James has averaged 35.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA this year away from home.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 24.7 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).
The matchup against the Hawks is a difficult one for scoring; opposing teams have averaged the 9th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (42.1).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
LeBron James will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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