LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2022

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 28, 2022

Updated Dec 28, 2022 9:40 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has attempted 22.1 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
LeBron James has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in recent days.
LeBron James has been called for 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the league when it comes to technicals (0th percentile).
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Favors Under

LeBron James has converted a measly 66.8% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly less than his 76.5 rate last year.
The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for threes; opposing squads have averaged the 5th-least treys per game in the league this year (13.3).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 9th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.1%).
The matchup vs. Caleb Martin may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; when defending fellow starting PFs, they have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (92nd percentile).

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