LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Oct 24, 2023

Updated Oct 24, 2023 10:14 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has been on the court for 42.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Lakers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

LeBron James has sunk just 2.1 treys per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.9 mark last year.
Relative to his full-season clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) fouls per home game, LeBron James's rate of technical fouls has increased by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) per game over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year in regard to treys.
The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for threes; when the Nuggets are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 9th-least shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
The 9th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.

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