LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has posted 8.2 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.6 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Pistons have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers.
The Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
LeBron James figures to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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