LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has totaled 8.3 assists per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 34.2 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
LeBron James should see an increase in productivity for all stats in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

LeBron James has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Lakers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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