LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 2:44 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has averaged 8.1 assists per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category.
LeBron James has tallied 34.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James places in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, registering only 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The Lakers have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.
LeBron James should see a spike in output in all facets of the game considering holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
The Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Clippers have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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