Lauri Markkanen Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Lauri Markkanen

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Jan 5, 2026

Updated Jan 5, 2026 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lauri Markkanen has averaged an impressive 27.9 points per game this season, significantly more than his 19.0 points per game last season.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Jazz have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Portland is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.0 free throws per game this year when the Portland Trail Blazers are on their home court (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

When it comes to 3-pointers, the Utah Jazz's feeble 33.1% rate of converted threes while playing on the road rates 3rd-worst in the league this year.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (29.6%).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Jazz.