Lauri Markkanen Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2025

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Lauri Markkanen

NBA · Player Props

Lauri Markkanen

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Boston Celtics · Dec 30, 2025

Updated Dec 31, 2025 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have tallied 6.7 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Utah Jazz.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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