Lauri Markkanen Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Lauri Markkanen

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

New York Knicks vs Utah Jazz · Dec 5, 2025

Updated Dec 5, 2025 11:39 PM EST

Analysis

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 19.0 rate, Lauri Markkanen's points per game have spiked this season to 28.1.
The 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Jazz.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 5th-best in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the Utah Jazz's feeble 108.2 points per game when playing on the road comes in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 18.6% on 3-pointers (worst in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New York Knicks).
The matchup against New York is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Knicks are on their home court (5th-least in the NBA).