Lauri Markkanen Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Lauri Markkanen

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 28, 2025

Updated Nov 28, 2025 11:09 PM EST

Analysis

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 19.0 clip, Lauri Markkanen's points per game have increased this year to 28.5.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shots from the field (6th-best in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a strong matchup.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Utah Jazz are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest pace road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings).
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to 3-point shots, the Jazz's unimpressive 33.2% rate of drained threes comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).