Lauri Markkanen Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Lauri Markkanen

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 21, 2025

Updated Nov 21, 2025 10:13 PM EST

Analysis

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jazz have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

With respect to 3-pointers, the Jazz's subpar 32.7% rate of converted threes measures as the 5th-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup against Oklahoma is a hard one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team, they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (11.0).
The Jazz will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from facing the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Thunder).