Lauri Markkanen Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Lauri Markkanen

NBA · Player Props

Lauri Markkanen

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Boston Celtics vs Utah Jazz · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 11:40 PM EST

Analysis

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Lauri Markkanen lands in the 94th percentile, tallying a massive 23.5 points per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Lauri Markkanen places in the 97th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, putting up 8.4 per game this year.
Lauri Markkanen has played 33.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 86th percentile.
The 7th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing away from home this year.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a challenging one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Celtics).
Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics (lengthening possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).
In comparison to last year's 6.1 rate, Lauri Markkanen's number of foul shot attempts has declined this year to 4.9 foul shot attempts per game.

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