Lauri Markkanen Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Lauri Markkanen

NBA · Player Props

Lauri Markkanen

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lauri Markkanen has converted 9.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Lauri Markkanen lands in the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts, logging 8.3 per game this year.
Lauri Markkanen has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 86th percentile.
The Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 9.1 shot attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, labeling this as a hard matchup.
Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have come down with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans (preserving possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).
The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.1 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the league).
Lauri Markkanen ought to see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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