Lauri Markkanen Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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Lauri Markkanen

NBA · Player Props

Lauri Markkanen

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lauri Markkanen has sunk an impressive 8.4 field goals per game this season, significantly higher than his 5.2 mark last season.
Lauri Markkanen has successfully made 4.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year at home.
Lauri Markkanen has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Mavericks is a hard one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.3).
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease possessions for the Jazz.
While on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 26.8 free throws per game over the last 25 games (3rd-least in the league).

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