Lauri Markkanen Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Lauri Markkanen

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lauri Markkanen has made an impressive 8.3 baskets per game this year, quite a bit more than his 5.2 rate last year.
Lauri Markkanen has successfully made 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage.
Lauri Markkanen has tallied 33.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home (which can also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games on the road (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted just 26.8 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (least in the NBA).
The Jazz have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a hard one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.1).