Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 11:39 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 58.8% of his field goals since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Larry Nance Jr. has made 40.3% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).

Favors Under

Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, making it tough to draw fouls.

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