Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Orlando Magic vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 11:18 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 70.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.6% more than he's made in all games this season away from his home court.
Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 66.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 20.0% higher than he's made from three in all games this year when playing on the road.
Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 25.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
As it relates to scoring, the New Orleans Pelicans's superb 115.3 points per game rates 9th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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