Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 19, 2024

Updated Mar 19, 2024 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Larry Nance Jr. rates in the 92nd percentile for 3-point prowess with a great 42.2% rate this year.
Larry Nance Jr. has played 23.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the season.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
Larry Nance Jr. has converted 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made in all games this year.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from home.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans rank 6thworst in in the NBA with only 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Larry Nance Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.