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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/22/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 64.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 10.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on his home court.

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 62.5% of his treys over the last 10 games at home, 16.4% higher than he's sunk overall this year when playing at home.

This year, their opposition has shot 34.5% on threes (worst in the league) vs. the Rockets, identifying this as a tough matchup.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pelicans.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Larry Nance Jr. has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's committed in all games this year.

The Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have attempted 27.9 foul shots per game (highest in the NBA) against the Rockets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

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