Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. registers in the 89th percentile for field goal performance with a an excellent 58.1% rate this year.
Larry Nance Jr. has converted 47.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Trail Blazers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The Pelicans are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Larry Nance Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to decrease player performance across the board.

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