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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/13/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 75.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 26.7% higher than he's made from three overall this year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have shot 33.6% on three-pointers (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a tough matchup.

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games at home, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 21.7 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.

Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (retaining possessions that can create more chances for offense).

Among all players in the league, Larry Nance Jr. measures in the 12th percentile for free-throw prowess with a a lackluster 60.7% rate this year.

Larry Nance Jr. stands to see a decline in performance for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

More Larry Nance Jr. Player Props

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