Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 67.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 9 games at home, 29.7% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while at home.
Larry Nance Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.
The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Pelicans.

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