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Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 54.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 9 games at home, 10.6% more than he's converted in all games this year while playing at home.

This matchup is a strong one for threes; opposing teams have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (32.6%).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Hawks have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

When playing away from home, the Hawks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a measly 25.9 free throws per game when the Hawks are away from home this year (4th-least in the NBA).

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